The Collected Works of Author and Blogger Larry Roberts

Archive for 2009

Four Major Variables that Determine Market Price Over the last two days we looked at the four main variables that determine home price: borrower income, allowable debt-to-income ratios, interest rates, and down paymentrequirements. Today we are looking at some of the minor cost inputs that work by influencing the four major ones; property taxes and Mello Roos taxes. When you qualify for a loan, the difference between what your income can support and the payment you can make to the lender is a number of related expenses that only homeowners must pay; property taxes, special assessments and Mello Roos, insurance and homeowners associations. These expenses (1) reduce your payment to the lender, (2) reduce the amount you can borrow and…[READ MORE]

Four Major Variables that Determine Market Price Yesterday, we discussed the four variables that determine the purchase price of a property: borrower income, allowable debt-to-income ratios, interest rates, and down payment requirements. Today we are looking at interest rates and down payment requirements. Interest Rates Interest rates go up, and interest rates go down. Interest rates are the yield on debt instruments. If investors lose their appetite for mortgage debt, prices of mortgage-backed securities goes down, payment yields go up, and mortgage interest rates go up with them. This concept is important to understand because right now, the Federal Reserve is the only buyer of agency paper at price levels yielding 4%. Private investors are demanding higher returns due to…[READ MORE]

Four Major Variables that Determine Market Price There are four variables that determine the purchase price of a property: borrower income, allowable debt-to-income ratios, interest rates, and down payment requirements. These variables are impacted by some other minor cost inputs which I will be discussing on Wednesday through Friday, but for the most part, the variables above determine market pricing. The first two variables are the focus of today's post, and the last two are the topics for tomorrow. Payment is a direct link to borrower gross income. The debt-to-income ratio allowed by a lender applied to the borrower's monthly income is the maximum allowable monthly housing expense an underwriter will consider. From this amount, a lender will subtract an…[READ MORE]

The mess in our housing and financial markets are slowly draining the life out of us. The powers-that-be are killing us softly with their endless song and dance. Our government and the Federal Reserve want to engineer the fabled "soft landing." So how would we measure their success? A soft landing for the FED would be a slow and controlled decline of house prices to levels sustainable by local incomes and free-market financing conditions. The reason they will let it drop is to shorten the time they have to support the market. The reason the Federal Reserve does not want to let it crash hard... they do not want their member banks to lose any more money. Wait, perhaps you…[READ MORE]

The median sales prices does not give any indication of what was obtained for the money spent. Median prices may be flat while people are either getting more for their money or settling for less. Also, the median sales price when charted over time occasionally gives false signals when prices appear to be moving on one direction when the prices of individual properties in the market are moving another. To deal with these problems with the median, alternate measures of pricing are used. Cost Per-Square-Foot Many data reporting services measure, record, and report the average sales cost on a per-square-foot basis to address the problem of evaluating what buyers are getting for their money. For instance, in a declining market…[READ MORE]

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